Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001614 0.001779 0.001943 0.002120 0.002304 0.002490 0.002692
2025-02-16 0.001399 0.001652 0.001913 0.002201 0.002509 0.002825 0.003175
2025-02-23 0.001103 0.001406 0.001730 0.002097 0.002497 0.002917 0.003389
2025-03-02 0.000898 0.001236 0.001609 0.002041 0.002522 0.003035 0.003620
2025-03-09 0.000759 0.001126 0.001540 0.002032 0.002589 0.003190 0.003882
2025-03-16 0.000663 0.001054 0.001508 0.002056 0.002685 0.003372 0.004168
2025-03-23 0.000597 0.001011 0.001503 0.002107 0.002807 0.003579 0.004479
2025-03-30 0.000527 0.000956 0.001480 0.002131 0.002896 0.003745 0.004741
2025-04-06 0.000458 0.000896 0.001444 0.002138 0.002960 0.003880 0.004967
2025-04-13 0.000396 0.000839 0.001408 0.002140 0.003017 0.004005 0.005178
2025-04-20 0.000338 0.000782 0.001369 0.002136 0.003064 0.004116 0.005372
2025-04-27 0.000288 0.000731 0.001334 0.002134 0.003111 0.004226 0.005562
2025-05-04 0.000263 0.000717 0.001350 0.002198 0.003241 0.004436 0.005875
2025-05-11 0.000252 0.000726 0.001396 0.002300 0.003418 0.004703 0.006252
2025-05-18 0.000178 0.000623 0.001285 0.002202 0.003350 0.004683 0.006301
2025-05-25 0.000129 0.000551 0.001213 0.002148 0.003334 0.004723 0.006415
2025-06-01 0.000099 0.000508 0.001177 0.002141 0.003374 0.004825 0.006602
2025-06-08 0.000079 0.000483 0.001168 0.002166 0.003453 0.004973 0.006841
2025-06-15 0.000068 0.000473 0.001179 0.002218 0.003565 0.005161 0.007125
2025-06-22 0.000053 0.000451 0.001171 0.002243 0.003642 0.005306 0.007359
2025-06-29 0.000038 0.000423 0.001150 0.002250 0.003695 0.005422 0.007558
2025-07-06 0.000025 0.000394 0.001127 0.002253 0.003742 0.005530 0.007747
2025-07-13 0.000014 0.000364 0.001100 0.002248 0.003780 0.005625 0.007921